Log in now to continue reading this story. Our internal poll numbers show our base of support is growing, and we will continue to work hard at getting our message out , she said. Nov. 9, 2022, Democratic House candidates outperformed Biden in several Michigan districts, bucking a rightward trend and maintaining seven of their seats. Lt. Gov. Josh Green has always had high favorables, and they continue to be high even though hes been taking heat from his competitors over the last couple of months, said Colin Moore, director of the University of Hawaiis Public Policy Center. Janet Mills of Maine. [6] The deadline to register to vote is 30 days before an election. Tuesday was selected because it gave eligible voters in rural areas, traveling by horse and buggy, enough time to get to a polling location and make it back for market day, which was typically Wednesday, according to an interview Don Ritchie, a former Senate historian, gave NPR in 2012. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. , Frank J. Mrvan, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Indianas First Congressional District. Nov. 9, 2022, Majority-Hispanic counties in Florida voted to reelect Gov. You deserve to hear our thinking. In Floridas closely watched governors race, Gov. . In response to a questionnaire from The Honolulu Star-Advertiser, she emphasized the need for more federal funding for health care, education and housing in rural communities. Nate Cohn Ron DeSantis over Democratic opponent Charlie Crist by a margin of 11 percentage points. , Where Senate Candidates Outperformed Biden and Trump. Polls in Hawaii close at 7 p.m. local time (1 a.m. Eastern time). Ms. Cayetano a businesswoman who co-founded Hawaiis largest laundry services company and whose husband, Ben Cayetano, was governor from 1994 to 2002 campaigned on creating a state-funded pipeline for renters to earn ownership of their homes, and on eliminating state income taxes for people earning less than $50,000. Josh Green continues to enjoy a commanding lead in the Democratic race for governor. The expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. He would have to offend a lot of voters who already say they support him. There are also two other Democrats running to be LG Daniel. These numbers are a good sign.. Read more Candidate Total Votes Send us an email. that guide every prediction he makes. election denier who marched to the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, in the race to be Arizonas secretary of state. Tonight, our election forecast will show live estimates for which party is favored to win control in the Senate and House. Herschel Walker, Republican, advances to a runoff election for the U.S. Senate seat in Georgia. The previous gubernatorial elections for this group of states took place in 2022, except in New Hampshire and Vermont, where governors serve two-year terms and will elect their governors in 2024 . Heres what the vote count could look like this year. Compared with 2020 presidential vote in places that have reported almost all of their Governor Republican Primary. Initially, he focused on combating homelessness. GOP Rep. Rick Allen never faced a real threat to his reelection. Steve Sisolak, a Democrat, and Joe Lombardo, the Las Vegas-area sheriff who was endorsed by Donald Trump. race changes, Ill be sure to explain why. Kahele, who is from Hawaii County, saw his strongest support on Kauai. Democrats launched a late ad campaign hitting Republican Eric Aadland, who is seeking to become first alphabetically in congressional history by last name. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Hawaii Governor - Aiona vs. Green The polls just closed in North Carolina, Ohio and West Virginia. The New York Timess results team is a group of graphics editors, engineers and reporters who build and maintain software to publish election results in real-time as they are reported by results providers. Maggie Astor , Brian Kemp, the Republican governor of Georgia, defeated his Democratic challenger, Stacey Abrams, for a second time. Governor", "Chamber of Commerce Hawaii leader Sherry Menor-McNamara running for lieutenant governor", "Former State Senator Jill Tokuda seeking to be Hawaii's next lieutenant governor", "Former state Sen. Jill Tokuda files to challenge Kai Kahele for congressional seat", "Mounting speculation about a Kahele run for governor triggers 'grand chess game', "Chad Blair: Here's How Hawaii's Top 2022 Political Races Are Shaking Out", "Race expanding for Hawaii's next lieutenant governor", "Lee Cataluna: Candidates for LG May Find the Game Has Changed", "Former City Council chair criticized by constituent at Lt. Gov. They both want Congress to codify the rights Roe v. Wade used to protect and to repeal the Hyde Amendment, which bans federal funding for most abortions. Source: Election results and race calls from The Associated Press. By comparison, Vicky Cayetano a business entrepreneur and former Hawaii first lady would receive 19% of the votes, followed by U.S. Rep. Kai Kahele with 16%. Lazaro Gamio Hawaii Elections Forecast 2022: Ratings, Predictions & Key Races. Some 35% of Native Hawaiians and Pacific Islanders said they support Green compared to 32% who say theyd back Kahele, who is Native Hawaiian. Nov. 9, 2022, The Senate races in Georgia, Nevada and Arizona are very tight, and vote counting is expected to drag into the week. The poll results were not a surprise as we know we have not been campaigning as the other candidates have, and at this point, we are pleased with our favorability ratings. Governor Solid Democratic Last updated April 1, 2022, 11:32 a.m. PDT Steve Shepard Chief POLITICO election reporter This race is Solid Democratic, meaning that in all likelihood, a. The overall headline here is he (Green) does really well with everybody and even with Republicans, said political analyst Neal Milner. Midterms: Josh Green, Hawaiis Second-in-Command, Is Democrats. , Eric Sorensen, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Illinoiss 17th Congressional District. Print subscriber but without online access? Democrats overwhelmingly approve (83%), as do independents (68%), but Republicans (47%) are not as enthusiastic. Reporting by Lalena Fisher and Alyce McFadden; production by Amanda Cordero and Jessica White; editing by Wilson Andrews, Kenan Davis, Amy Hughes and Ben Koski. GOP Rep. Mark Amodei looks safe for reelection after surviving his primary. Mr. Branco and his supporters argue that Ms. Tokuda cannot be trusted because she was endorsed by the National Rifle Association in 2012, although she supported gun restrictions in the State Senate after that and has called for a federal assault weapons ban and a minimum age of 21 for gun purchases. Only 7% said they did not recognize Greens name, compared to 11% for Caldwell and 35% for Cayetano, suggesting she has to remind voters of who she is. . Next. Ron DeSantis won re-election in Florida, cementing Republicans power in a state that was once a key battleground. A total of 800 registered Hawaii voters were interviewed statewide by landline telephone and cell phones. A voter dropped off a ballot in Honolulu in 2020. Nate Cohn Roughly 1 in 5 of those polled were still unsure who they planned to support. Incumbent Democratic Governor David Ige was term-limited and ineligible to run for a third term. And probably, he determined that all he has to do is get 35 to 40% of the vote or less in order to win this nomination.. Representative Kai Kahele, Lt. Gov. Of the Democrats who recognize Greens name, a whopping 65% had a favorable opinion of him. November 5, 2024. The 2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Hawaii. I really liked his communication through the pandemic., Briscoes sister and her husband also met Green on separate occasions and made the same recommendation, Briscoe said. Nov. 8, 2022, If Democrats hold onto two seats leaning their way, they will need to win three additional tossup seats to maintain control of the Senate. See election results, maps, county-by-county vote counts and more for Hawaii's races on Aug. 13, 2022. . Lazaro Gamio Steve outlines the four factors that have made control of the Senate a coin flip. Polls just closed in 19 states and Washington, D.C. J.D. Maggie Astor Arizonas Senate race is a currently tossup, according to our estimates. Nov. 8, 2022, The Georgia Senate race, which could go to a Dec. 6 runoff, could determine which party controls the chamber. While the three majority-Hispanic counties Hendry, Miami-Dade and Osceola shifted the most, Latino turnout tends to drop more in the midterms compared with other groups. As you know, there is a not a short list of incidences that hes been involved in that are legally of concern, Blair said. In a statement to the Star- Advertiser, Penn said: We have tremendous confidence in the people of Hawaii. Jurisdiction. Nov. 8, 2022, Kentucky, a solidly red state, reelected Rand Paul to the Senate. Former Mayor Kirk Caldwell has raised $344,861 and reported $717,678 in cash on hand in the latest fundraising figures. James R. "Duke" Aiona takes the win with 45.7% (37,406) votes, followed by retired MMA fighter BJ Penn with 24.1% (19,667) votes and Gary. Green also has commanding leads in terms of fundraising and political endorsements. Hawaiis comparatively low infection rate drew many wealthy remote workers from the mainland, exacerbating the states existing shortage of affordable housing a crisis that, like the pandemic, has hit Native Hawaiians especially hard. Tuesday, January 3, 2023. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r